Drought Risk Assessment in Niger

RNI partners UNEP/GRID-Geneva and INGENIAR have supported the Government of Niger in a project financed by UNDP Niger. The project includes the development of a new 90 by 90 m resolution flood model, the assessment of historical forest fires and the evaluation of agricultural drought risk for millet in the province of Dogondoutchi, using a fully probabilistic methodology. The project will also implement a data platform powered by MapX, an on-line software developed by UNEP/GRID-Geneva, which allows users to display, visualize, interrogate and download geospatial data.

World on Fire

RNI partners FLACSO, IDMC and CIMA, with support from the German International Cooperation (GIZ), organised the World on Fire: Exploring the Risk Nexus workshop, which was held in the Secretary General’s Office of FLACSO, Costa Rica on January 23 and 24, 2019.

The workshop brought together 26 experts from different regions and sectors for a conversation which sought to conceptualise and unpack the qualitative transformation occurring in global risk, examine why current approaches to risk management are failing and to consolidate an emerging new metanarrative of managing risks within sustainable and resilient development.

The product of the workshop was a collectively penned paper: Transforming a World on Fire:  from Exotic to Quotidian Approaches to Risk Management

Situational Disaster Risk Analysis of Asia-Pacific

RNI and its partner INGENIAR developed a Situational Risk Analysis of Asia-Pacific for the Economic and Social Commission of Asia-Pacific (ESCAP).

The Situational Risk Analysis was based on probabilistic risk metrics produced by partners of RNI for the United Nations in 2017 but with additional estimates of extensive risk and indirect losses.  In addition, estimates were made of the likely contribution of agricultural drought risk to disaster risk in Asia and the Pacific, using social and economic proxies for exposure and vulnerability of the agricultural sector.

The study was included in ESCAP’s 2019 Asia Pacific Disaster Report: the Disaster Riskscape Across Asia-Pacific.

Drought risk assessment in Kazakhstan

A detailed probabilistic agricultural drought risk assessment was carried out in Kazakhstan by RNI partner INGENIAR for the Economic and Social Commission of Asia-Pacific, in order to demonstrate a robust methodology to calculate the Average Annual Loss (AAL) associated with agricultural drought.  Unlike most drought risk assessments, based on historical statistics, the probabilistic assessment allows the calculation of all the potential drought scenarios that could occur, including in the context of future climate change. This assessment focused on wheat, the major cereal crop grown in Kazakhstan.  It highlighted an AAL that represented approximately 22 percent of the exposed value, which would reduce to 16 percent under a future climate scenario.

Review of Country Risk Indexes

RNI and its partners FLACSO and INGENIAR carried out a review of Country Disaster Risk Indexes for the  Sustainable Development and Climate ChangeDepartment (SDCC) of the Asian Development Bank (ADB).

The study consisted of a desk-review of 23 country disaster risk indices followed by and in-depth analysis of 9 country disaster risk indices to determine their suitability and limitations as a basis for the allocation of Asian Development Fund (ADF) disaster risk reduction (DRR) financing mechanism resources across currently eligible countries and a wider group of developing member countries. It provided short-, medium-,and long-term recommendations to ADB, along with a recommended methodology for the application of country risk index for resource allocation.

Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure

RNI and its partners IIHS and FLACSO, with the support of the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)  are supporting the development of the Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure(CDRI) through the development of a Strategic and Programme Framework, a three-year Work-plan and governance structure.

CDRI is a new partnership of national governments, UN agencies and programmes, multilateral development banks and financing mechanisms, the private sector, and knowledge institutions that aims to promote the resilience of new and existing infrastructure systems to climate and disaster risks, thereby ensuring sustainable development.  CDRI was launched by the Government of India at the Climate Action Summit in September 2019.

Tomorrows Cities: GCRF Urban Disaster Risk Hub

RNI, through its partners FLACSO, CIMNE, INGENIAR and IIHS is implementing a work package of the Tomorrow’s Cities: GCRF Urban Disaster Risk Hub.  The Hub is a five year project, managed by the University of Edinburgh, designed to catalyse a transition from crisis management to risk-informed urban development through integrated research across four urban systems – Istanbul, Kathmandu, Nairobi and Quito – chosen for their multi-hazard exposure, and variety of urban form, development status and governance.

As part  of the Hub, RNI is working with and across the city research teams to develop a comparative multi-hazard probabilistic risk model to support risk-informed decision making in the cities, and to advise on appropriate urban governance arrangements that address the social construction of risk.